| Author | : Barry B. Hughes |
| Publisher | : Academic Press |
| Release Date | : 2019-03-20 |
| ISBN 10 | : 0128134224 |
| Pages | : 330 pages |
International Futures: Building and Using Global Models extensively covers one of the most advanced systems for integrated, long-term, global and large-scale forecasting analysis available today, the International Futures (IFs) system. Key elements of a strong, long-term global forecasting system are described, i.e. the formulations for the driving variables in separate major models and the manner in which these separate models are integrated. The heavy use of algorithmic and rule-based elements and the use of elements of control theory is also explained. Furthermore, the IFs system is compared and contrasted with all other major modeling efforts, also outlining the major benefits of the IFs system. Finally, the book provides suggestions on how the development of forecasting systems might most productively proceed in the coming years. Helps readers understand the IFs system, not at a detailed equation and technical level, but in terms of the important decisions made that dominate the structure and long-term behavior Presents information on the universe of long-term global forecasting systems, key decisions made, and the range of similarities and differences in the systems Covers the relationship between long-term forecasts in a variety of global issues and the forecasting systems and assumptions that underly them (essential information for forecast consumers)
| Author | : Malcolm J. M. Robertson |
| Publisher | : N.A |
| Release Date | : 1990 |
| ISBN 10 | : |
| Pages | : 329 pages |
| Author | : Barry Hughes |
| Publisher | : Westview Press |
| Release Date | : 1993-09-06 |
| ISBN 10 | : |
| Pages | : 205 pages |
| Author | : Barry B. Hughes,Evan E. Hillebrand |
| Publisher | : Routledge |
| Release Date | : 2015-12-03 |
| ISBN 10 | : 1317259866 |
| Pages | : 256 pages |
"People who run cities like to play Simcity to find out how impossible their jobs are. Hughes gives everyone a chance to play a kind of Simplanet, with outcomes far more complex and uncertain. In the process, the book and the computer program provide a coherent path to understanding an anarchic world." --Ronald A. Francisco, University of Kansas "What will be the future of human demographic, economic, environmental, and political-social systems throughout the 21st century? Where do current changes appear to be taking us? What kind of future would we prefer? How much leverage do we have to bring about the future we prefer? Do YOU share these interests of the book? If yes, you should study the book and learn how to cope with the future with the International Futures approach (IFs) developed by the authors. This large-scale integrated global simulation modeling system is a user-friendly, professional tool for long-term policy analysis and an educational tool in universities. I had a pleasure to learn it personally by cooperating with Barry Hughes." --Pentti Malaska, Professor of MS, DrTech, futurist Honorary member of the Club of Rome What will be the long-term impact of AIDS in Africa or concentration of global oil production in the Middle East? Exploring and Shaping International Futures helps readers understand such global trends in demographic, economic, energy, food, environmental, and socio-political systems. It allows businesspeople, government officials, and others to think concretely about global futures in each of these areas. It is the only book on the market that allows readers to use a computer simulation to track global trends and to develop alternative scenarios around those trends. It is one of relatively few books that really brings computer technology into the classroom, boardroom, or policy planning commission. The International Futures (IFs) computer simulation, around which the book is built, is now widely used in policy analysis as well as education. It has been instrumental in projects undertaken by such groups as the European Commission, the U.S. National Intelligence Council, and the United Nations. After three decades of development and refinement, the computer model is now easy to access and use. Readers can access the website with the IFs computer model at www.ifs.du.edu
| Author | : OECD International Futures Programme |
| Publisher | : N.A |
| Release Date | : 1995 |
| ISBN 10 | : |
| Pages | : 46 pages |
| Author | : OECD International Futures Programme |
| Publisher | : N.A |
| Release Date | : 1995 |
| ISBN 10 | : |
| Pages | : 17 pages |
| Author | : N.A |
| Publisher | : N.A |
| Release Date | : 1988 |
| ISBN 10 | : |
| Pages | : 329 pages |
| Author | : Canadian Securities Institute |
| Publisher | : N.A |
| Release Date | : 1986 |
| ISBN 10 | : 9780919796126 |
| Pages | : 329 pages |
| Author | : Zachary Donnenfeld |
| Publisher | : N.A |
| Release Date | : 2018 |
| ISBN 10 | : 9781431209538 |
| Pages | : 81 pages |
This project improved the water model of the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system, and uses IFs to forecast water demand and supply for South Africa at a national level to 2035, the time horizon for the national water strategy. The research finds that the gap between demand and supply persists over time, and that the solutions proposed by the Departments of Water and Sanitation (DWS) (and previously the Department of Water Affairs) will be insufficient to reconcile that gap. This report offers a comprehensive picture of the state of South Africa’s water system, a dynamic representation of how the water sector might unfold over time, and provides a sense of how water interacts with other key aspects of human, social and economic development.
| Author | : Canadian Securities Institute |
| Publisher | : N.A |
| Release Date | : 1986 |
| ISBN 10 | : 9780919796140 |
| Pages | : 329 pages |
| Author | : Stephen Hopgood,Jack Snyder,Leslie Vinjamuri |
| Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
| Release Date | : 2017-08-31 |
| ISBN 10 | : 1107193354 |
| Pages | : 344 pages |
For the first time in one collected volume, mainstream and critical human rights scholars together examine the empirical and normative debates around the future of human rights. They ask what makes human rights effective, what strategies will enhance the chances of compliance, what blocks progress, and whether the hope for human rights is entirely misplaced in a rapidly transforming world. Human Rights Futures sees the world as at a crucial juncture. The project for globalizing rights will either continue to be embedded or will fall backward into a maelstrom of nationalist backlash, religious resurgence and faltering Western power. Each chapter talks directly to the others in an interactive dialogue, providing a theoretical and methodological framework for a clear research agenda for the next decade. Scholars, graduate students and practitioners of political science, history, sociology, law and development will find much to both challenge and provoke them in this innovative book.
| Author | : Mavuangi Khonde |
| Publisher | : N.A |
| Release Date | : 1989 |
| ISBN 10 | : |
| Pages | : 216 pages |